/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Futrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
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Taylor Booth
21'
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Othman Boussaid
70'
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Taylor Booth
75'
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Sam Lammers
78'
FC Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result
FC Utrecht
50%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
23.04%
▲
(+0.05)
Fortuna Sittard
26.96%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
60.18%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.46%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
40.54%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 3.5
37.08%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 3.5
62.92%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 4.5
19.84%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 4.5
80.16%
▲
(+0.26)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5
83.6%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
16.4%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
53.96%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
46.04%
▲
(+0.13)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5
71.98%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
28.02%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
36.33%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
63.67%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
FC Utrecht
50%
Draw
23.03%
Fortuna Sittard
26.96%
FC Utrecht
2-1
@
9.56%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 50%
1-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 50%
Draw
1-1
@
10.56%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.03%
2-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.03%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
@
6.72%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 26.96%
