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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Utrecht |
27.53% ( 0.46) | 24.6% ( 0.17) | 47.87% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 55.33% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.84% ( -0.4) | 47.16% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.61% ( -0.38) | 69.4% ( 0.38) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.96% ( 0.14) | 31.05% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% ( 0.16) | 67.36% ( -0.16) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% ( -0.42) | 19.77% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% ( -0.68) | 51.81% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 27.53% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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