MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 07:53:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
FC Utrecht

Excelsior
1 - 1
Utrecht

Horemans (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toornstra (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 PSV
Sunday, January 21 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 FC Utrecht

Utrecht have endured a torrid campaign in front of goal, but we are backing them to find the back of the net here en route to a share of the spoils come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Utrecht
27.53% (0.457 0.46) 24.6% (0.166 0.17) 47.87% (-0.622 -0.62)
Both teams to score 55.33% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (-0.403 -0.4)47.16% (0.404 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (-0.377 -0.38)69.4% (0.377 0.38)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.137 0.14)31.05% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.16 0.16)67.36% (-0.158 -0.16)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.417 -0.42)19.77% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (-0.679 -0.68)51.81% (0.681 0.68)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 27.53%
    FC Utrecht 47.87%
    Draw 24.6%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Utrecht
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 6.81% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.53%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.1% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.36% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.87%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Utrecht

SBV Excelsior
27.8%
Draw
44.4%
FC Utrecht
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 12
Utrecht
2-2
Excelsior
Bozdogan (70'), Sagnan (90+3')
Sagnan (90+4')
Driouech (53'), Lamprou (62')
Baas (83')
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
0-0
Excelsior
Klaiber (9')
Koolwijk (21'), Fortes (60'), Messaoud (95')
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 14
Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!