MX23RW : Tuesday, April 16 07:38:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Ajax

AZ
2 - 0
Ajax

van Bommel (7', 67')
Bazoer (55'), Goes (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 1-2 AZ
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Ajax
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 Ajax

While AZ have the benefit of having a week of preparation for this game, Ajax are on a high after their Europa Conference League exploits. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to put in another improved performance to earn a second crucial win in the context of their season in quick succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
49.97% (-0.389 -0.39) 20.53% (0.115 0.12) 29.49% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 71.77% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.7% (-0.392 -0.39)26.3% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.4% (-0.504 -0.5)46.6% (0.503 0.5)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.244 -0.24)11.29% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (-0.535 -0.53)35.92% (0.534 0.53)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)19.1% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)50.72% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 49.97%
    Ajax 29.49%
    Draw 20.53%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 5.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.79% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 7.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.16% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.57% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.49%

How you voted: AZ vs Ajax

AZ Alkmaar
38.1%
Draw
21.4%
Ajax
40.5%
42
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
Pavlidis (45'), De Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
2-1
Ajax
De Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Kudus (12')
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
Mar 3, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
AZ
0-2
Ajax

Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')
Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV30263195177881
2Feyenoord30226277235472
3FC Twente30186656302660
4AZ AlkmaarAZ30167759352455
5Ajax3013986356748
6NECNijmegen301211759441547
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994341245
8Go Ahead Eagles30119104439542
9Sparta RotterdamSparta30117124543240
10Heerenveen30106145056-636
11Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
12Almere CityAlmere City30712113048-1833
13PEC Zwolle3088144058-1832
14Heracles3095164062-2232
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30510154464-2025
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3066182950-2124
17FC VolendamVolendam3047193074-4419
18Vitesse3045212268-4617


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