/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Manfred Ugalde
42'
-
Carel Eiting
66'
-
Manfred Ugalde
70'
-
Younes Taha
86'
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Robin Propper
90'+2'
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Jens Odgaard
4'
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Bruno Martins Indi
65'
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Riechedly Bazoer
86'
FC Twente vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fpascal-jansen.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.
Result
FC Twente
46.3%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
23.79%
▲
(+0.30)
AZ Alkmaar
29.91%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
59.77%
▼
(-0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.94%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 2.5
42.06%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 3.5
35.53%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 3.5
64.46%
▲
(+1.35)
Over 4.5
18.67%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 4.5
81.33%
▲
(+1.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
81.61%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 0.5
18.38%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 1.5
50.47%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 1.5
49.52%
▲
(+1.18)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
73.23%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 0.5
26.76%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 1.5
37.96%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 1.5
62.04%
▲
(+0.78)
Score analysis
FC Twente
46.3%
Draw
23.78%
AZ Alkmaar
29.91%
FC Twente
2-1
@
9.3%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 46.3%
1-0 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 46.3%
Draw
1-1
@
10.98%
▲
(+0.24)
2-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.78%
2-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.78%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
7.24%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.91%
0-1 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.91%
