Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 13, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
2 - 1
AZ

Ugalde (42', 70')
Eiting (66'), Taha (86'), Propper (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Odgaard (4')
Martins Indi (65'), Bazoer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 FC Twente
Sunday, December 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 AZ
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
46.3% ( -0.42)	23.79% ( 0.3)	29.91% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 59.77% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

-1.33)

42.06% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.53% (

-1.35)

64.46% (

1.34)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

-0.69)

18.38% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.47% (

-1.17)

49.52% (

1.17)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

-0.59)

26.76% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96% (

-0.78)

62.04% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 46.3%

AZ Alkmaar 29.91%

Draw 23.78%

FC Twente	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.3%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.91%