Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
0 - 1
Feyenoord

Clasie (7'), de Wit (37')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wieffer (6')
Gimenez (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-2 AZ
Sunday, January 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Feyenoord

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 0-0 FC Twente
Sunday, January 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Feyenoord
35.02% ( -0.38)	23.51% ( 0.15)	41.47% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 63% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.26% (

-0.83)

38.74% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.95% (

-0.88)

61.05% (

0.89)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

-0.58)

22.16% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45% (

-0.88)

55.55% (

0.88)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

-0.25)

19.07% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.34% (

-0.41)

50.66% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 35.02%

Feyenoord 41.47%

Draw 23.51%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 35.02%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.47%