Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 7pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
0 - 0
AZ

Jacobs (43'), Robinet (77')

Addai (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Almere City 2-1 Excelsior
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 AZ
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Almere City	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
29.86% ( 0.13)	24.68% ( 0.07)	45.46% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 56.65% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.85% (

-0.27)

46.14% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

-0.25)

68.44% (

0.25)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15% (

-0.04)

28.85% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.29% (

-0.05)

64.71% (

0.05)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62% (

-0.2)

20.38% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.2% (

-0.32)

52.79% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Almere City 29.86%

AZ Alkmaar 45.46%

Draw 24.68%

Almere City	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.86%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.46%