Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 2, 2024 at 7pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
2 - 1
Excelsior

Resink (43'), Widell (68' og.)
Pena (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Parrott (26')
Widell (20'), Baas (47'), Sandra (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Almere City in this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	SBV Excelsior
49.08% ( 0.2)	22.9% ( -0.05)	28.01% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 61.58% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.91% (

0.15)

39.08% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.59% (

0.16)

61.41% (

-0.16)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.81% (

0.13)

16.18% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.34% (

0.23)

45.66% (

-0.24)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

-0.03)

26.53% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

-0.03)

61.73% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Almere City 49.08%

SBV Excelsior 28.01%

Draw 22.9%

Almere City	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 49.08%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.01%