KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals

Feb 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord
2 - 0
AZ

Trauner (21'), Geertruida (44'), Nieuwkoop (86')
Gimenez (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Clasie (20'), Belic (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: AZ 0-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: AZ 0-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
52.05% ( -0.04)	22.72% ( 0.07)	25.23% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.59% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.44% (

-0.37)

40.56% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.06% (

-0.38)

62.94% (

0.38)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32% (

-0.14)

15.68% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.27% (

-0.27)

44.73% (

0.27)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0.22)

29.33% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

-0.28)

65.3% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 52.05%

AZ Alkmaar 25.23%

Draw 22.72%

Feyenoord	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 52.05%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 25.23%