Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 0
Heracles

Jensen (79')
Toornstra (41'), Elkarouani (74'), van der Hoorn (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sonnenberg (89'), Vejinovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, February 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Heracles
Friday, February 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Heracles
68.09% ( -0.02)	17.5% ( 0)	14.4% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.17% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.68% (

0.01)

32.31% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.06% (

0.01)

53.93% (

-0.01)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.31% (

-0)

8.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.08% (

-0)

29.91% (

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.8% (

0.02)

35.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.05% (

0.03)

71.94% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 68.09%

Heracles 14.4%

Draw 17.5%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.76% 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 68.09%	1-1 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.5%	1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 14.4%