Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
3 - 2
Vitesse

Bruijn (30'), Hornkamp (57', 71')
Wieckhoff (87')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kozlowski (24'), Meulensteen (27')
Isimat-Mirin (41'), Sturing (42')
Isimat-Mirin (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 Heracles
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Cambuur 3-1 Vitesse
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Vitesse
40.09% ( 1.23)	24.2% ( -0.02)	35.71% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 60.56% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.03% (

41.97% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.62% (

64.37% (

-0.01)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

0.6)

21.06% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.13% (

0.92)

53.87% (

-0.92)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

-0.64)

23.28% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79% (

-0.94)

57.21% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Heracles 40.09%

Vitesse 35.71%

Draw 24.2%

Heracles	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.09%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.22% Total : 35.71%