Vitesse
KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Jan 18, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
GelreDome

Vitesse
1 - 0
AFC

Propper (27')
Oroz (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the KNVB Beker Round of 16 clash between Vitesse and AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Utrecht
Sunday, January 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

AFC

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Last Game: AFC 38-33 NFC
Sunday, January 26 at 8pm in NFL Playoffs
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:28:Sport:22:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for AFC had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest AFC win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawAFC
54.07% (-0.227 -0.23)21.62% (0.026 0.03)24.31% (0.205 0.21)
Both teams to score 62.52% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.76% (0.099000000000004 0.1)36.24% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.64% (0.107 0.11)58.36% (-0.103 -0.1)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.49% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)13.51% (0.039 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.44% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)40.56% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.21100000000001 0.21)27.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (0.268 0.27)63.27% (-0.264 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 54.07%
    AFC 24.31%
    Draw 21.62%
VitesseDrawAFC
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.12% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 24.31%

How you voted: Vitesse vs AFC

Vitesse
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
AFC
33.3%
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