Eredivisie Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
Jan 26, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Vitesse
  • Eliano Reijnders 16' goal
  • Nick Fichtinger 59' yellowcard
  • Anselmo Garcia McNulty 71' yellowcard
  • Bram van Polen 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramon Hendriks 18'
  • yellowcard Alois Oroz 57'

PEC Zwolle vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 7.00pm
AZ 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Lennart Thy

Vitesse

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 1.30pm
Vitesse 1 - 2 Feyenoord
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Marco van Ginkel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result

PEC Zwolle 47.18% ▲ (+0.89)
Draw 23.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Vitesse 29.42% ▼ (-0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.85% ▼ (-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.5% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 2.5 40.49% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 3.5 37.12% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 3.5 62.87% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 4.5 19.88% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 4.5 80.12% ▲ (+0.57)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5 82.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 17.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 52.12% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 47.88% ▼ (-0.13)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5 73.7% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 0.5 26.3% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 1.5 38.57% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 1.5 61.43% ▲ (+1.28)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 47.18%
Draw 23.39%
Vitesse 29.42%
PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.28)
2-0 @ 7% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 47.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.39%
Vitesse
1-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.14)
0-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.42%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Vitesse
Oct 27, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT GelreDome
PEC Zwolle
  • Million Manhoef 88' goal
  • goal Younes Namli 25'
  • yellowcard Anselmo Garcia McNulty 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Vitesse
Dec 21, 2021 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
PEC Zwolle
  • Riechedly Bazoer 9' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 47' goal
  • Nikolai Frederiksen 50' yellowcard
  • Patrick Vroegh 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Siemen Voet 6'
  • yellowcard Mustafa Saymak 55'
  • yellowcard Thomas van den Belt 61'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
PEC Zwolle
Aug 15, 2021 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Vitesse
  • goal Nikolai Frederiksen 20'
  • yellowcard Matus Bero 31'
  • yellowcard Thomas Buitink 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Vitesse
May 1, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
PEC Zwolle
  • Armando Broja 27' goal
  • yellowcard Million Manhoef 42'
  • goal Jesper Drost 54'
  • yellowcard Matus Bero 62'
  • yellowcard Danilho Doekhi 69'
  • goal Idrissa Toure 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
PEC Zwolle
Dec 5, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Vitesse
  • Jesper Drost 65' goal
  • Mike van Duinen 76' goal
  • Jesper Drost 77' yellowcard
  • Eliano Reijnders 90' yellowcard
  • goal Oussama Darfalou 7'
  • redcard Idrissa Toure 65'
  • yellowcard Matus Bero 74'
  • yellowcard Riechedly Bazoer 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
PEC Zwolle
Feb 29, 2020 6.45pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Vitesse
  • Gustavo Hamer 6' goal
  • Kenneth Paal 74' goal
  • Remko Pasveer 90' goal
  • Reza Ghoochannejhad 90' goal
  • goal Tim Matavz 6'
  • yellowcard Matus Bero 18'
  • goal Oussama Tannane 33'
  • yellowcard Oussama Tannane 81'
  • goal Oussama Tannane 90'

Form Data

AZ 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Ajax 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 1 - 3 Nijmegen
Volendam 0 - 5 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 1 - 2 RKC Waalwijk
Vitesse 1 - 2 Feyenoord
Vitesse 1 - 0 AFC
Vitesse 0 - 0 Utrecht
Vitesse 1 - 0 Heerenveen
Almere City 5 - 0 Vitesse
Vitesse 2 - 0 Heracles