Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.