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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 13.72% ( | 17.46% ( | 68.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.2% ( | 33.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.36% ( | 55.64% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( | 37.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.12% ( | 73.88% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.08% ( | 8.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.53% ( | 30.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.93% ( 1-0 @ 3.28% ( 2-0 @ 1.63% ( 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 3-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 13.72% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.46% | 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-1 @ 8% ( 0-3 @ 7.79% ( 1-3 @ 7.72% ( 0-4 @ 4.71% ( 1-4 @ 4.67% ( 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 2-4 @ 2.31% ( 0-5 @ 2.28% ( 1-5 @ 2.26% ( 2-5 @ 1.12% ( 0-6 @ 0.92% 1-6 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 68.82% |