Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.