Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.