Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.