Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Burnley |
| 28.01% ( | 22.39% ( | 49.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.36% ( | 36.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.2% ( | 58.79% ( |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( | 25.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( | 60.04% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( | 15.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.35% | 43.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Burnley |
| 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 1-0 @ 5.25% 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 1-3 @ 5.91% 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-3 @ 4.07% 1-4 @ 2.79% 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 2-4 @ 1.92% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.11% Total : 49.6% |