Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 1
Brighton

Brownhill (74')
Cullen (28')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Muric (79' og.)
O'Mahony (90+7'), Veltman (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

A late own goal from Burnley goalkeeper Arijanet Muric sees the Clarets draw 1-1 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
32.21% ( -0.42)	23.65% ( 0.04)	44.14% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 61.49% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.68% (

-0.34)

40.32% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.31% (

-0.35)

62.69% (

0.35)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

-0.41)

24.48% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08% (

-0.58)

58.92% (

0.59)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.42% (

0.03)

18.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.15% (

0.05)

49.85% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Burnley 32.21%

Brighton & Hove Albion 44.14%

Draw 23.65%

Burnley	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.21%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.65%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 44.14%