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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Brighton logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Brighton

Brownhill (74')
Cullen (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muric (79' og.)
O'Mahony (90+7'), Veltman (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

A late own goal from Burnley goalkeeper Arijanet Muric sees the Clarets draw 1-1 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
32.21% (-0.425 -0.42) 23.65% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 44.14% (0.393 0.39)
Both teams to score 61.49% (-0.313 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.68% (-0.335 -0.34)40.32% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.31% (-0.347 -0.35)62.69% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.408 -0.41)24.48% (0.415 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)58.92% (0.589 0.59)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15% (0.045000000000002 0.05)49.85% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 32.21%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.14%
    Draw 23.65%
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.125 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.44% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.14%

How you voted: Burnley vs Brighton

Burnley
16.7%
Draw
24.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
58.9%
90
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-1
Burnley
Adingra (77')
Odobert (45')
O'Shea (14'), Taylor (66'), Odobert (72'), Redmond (86')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
0-3
Burnley

Duffy (84')
Weghorst (21'), Brownhill (40'), Lennon (69')
Cork (25'), Roberts (59'), Lennon (61'), Brownhill (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Nov 6, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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