/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbrilog.png)
-
Josh Cullen
28'
-
Josh Brownhill
74'
-
Arijanet Muric
79'
(OG)
-
Joel Veltman
90'+1'
-
Mark O'Mahony
90'+7'
Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F13%2Fchebur_2.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Burnley
32.21%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
23.65%
▲
(+0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion
44.14%
▲
(+0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
61.49%
▼
(-0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.68%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 2.5
40.32%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 3.5
37.31%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 3.5
62.69%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 4.5
20.02%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 4.5
79.98%
▲
(+0.28)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
75.52%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
24.48%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 1.5
41.08%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 1.5
58.92%
▲
(+0.59)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5
81.42%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
18.58%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
50.15%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
49.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Burnley
32.21%
Draw
23.65%
Brighton & Hove Albion
44.14%
Burnley
2-1
@
7.58%
▼
(-0.06)
1-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.21%
1-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.21%
Draw
1-1
@
10.77%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.65%
2-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.65%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2
@
9.07%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.14%
0-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.14%