Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Burnley |
56.52% ( 0.03) | 23.36% ( -0.01) | 20.12% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.79% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.94% ( -0.01) | 49.05% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.87% ( -0.01) | 71.13% ( 0) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.84% ( 0) | 17.15% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.6% ( 0.01) | 47.39% ( -0.02) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.31% ( -0.03) | 38.69% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.57% ( -0.03) | 75.43% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 11.69% 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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