Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 0
Burnley

Calvert-Lewin (45+2')
Tarkowski (34'), Gomes (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Berge (90')
O'Shea (67')

The Match

Match Report

Dominic Calvert-Lewin scores the only goal of the match as Everton record a 1-0 victory over 10-man Burnley at Goodison Park on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Everton
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Wolves
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Burnley
56.52% ( 0.03)	23.36% ( -0.01)	20.12% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.79% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.01)

49.05% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

-0.01)

71.13% (

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.84% (

17.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.6% (

0.01)

47.39% (

-0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.31% (

-0.03)

38.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.57% (

-0.03)

75.43% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Everton 56.51%

Burnley 20.12%

Draw 23.36%

Everton	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.69% 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.51%	1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.36%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.12%