Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Brentford

Bruun Larsen (10' pen.), Datro Fofana (62')
Amdouni (81'), Taylor (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ajer (83')
Janelt (68'), Ajer (84'), Baptiste (90+13'), Toney (90+10')
Reguilon (8')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Jacob Bruun Larsen and David Datro Fofana help Burnley to a 2-1 victory over Brentford at Turf Moor.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Burnley
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Brentford
42.23% ( 0.36)	23.98% ( 0.13)	33.79% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 60.9% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.66% (

-0.76)

41.34% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.26% (

-0.77)

63.73% (

0.77)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.18% (

-0.16)

19.81% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.11% (

-0.26)

51.89% (

0.26)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

-0.63)

24.04% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69% (

-0.91)

58.31% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Burnley 42.23%

Brentford 33.79%

Draw 23.98%

Burnley	Draw	Brentford
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 42.23%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.79%