Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 10' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 19' goal
  • Kai Havertz 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 86' goal
  • yellowcard Frank Onyeka 4'
  • yellowcard Mathias Jorgensen 21'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 72'
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 90'+9'

Arsenal vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2024 8.00pm
Sheff Utd 0 - 6 Arsenal
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Bukayo Saka

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Yoane Wissa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 76.64% (+0.01)
Draw 14.36% (-0.01)
Brentford 9% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.17% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.9% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 32.1% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 46.32% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 53.68% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 27.44% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 72.56% (-0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 93.12% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 6.87% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 74.72% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.27% (-0.02)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 56.02% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 43.97% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 19.9% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 80.1% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Arsenal 76.64%
Draw 14.36%
Brentford 9%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 10.83%
3-0 @ 9.67% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.95% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.47% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 76.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.66%
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 14.36%
Brentford
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 9%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Kristoffer Ajer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Trossard 42'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 56'
  • goal Kai Havertz 89'
EFL Cup
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Yoane Wissa 67' yellowcard
  • Mathias Jorgensen 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Reiss Nelson 8'
  • goal Reiss Nelson 8'
  • yellowcard Ben White 41'
  • yellowcard Ben White 41'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nketiah 54'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leandro Trossard 66' goal
  • goal Ivan Toney 74'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2022 12.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal William Saliba 17'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 28'
  • goal Fabio Vieira 49'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Emile Smith Rowe 48' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 79' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pontus Jansson 81'
  • goal Christian Norgaard 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sergi Canos 22' goal
  • Christian Norgaard 73' goal

Build-up

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