Champions League
Feb 21, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Francisco Conceicao 52' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 52' yellowcard
  • Nico Gonzalez 62' yellowcard
  • Galeno 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 2'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 57'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 61'

Porto vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Arsenal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result

Porto 43.05%
Draw 25.52% (+0.01)
Arsenal 31.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.65% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.11% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.81% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 71.18% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.86%
Under 4.5 86.14%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 77.27% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.73% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.4% (-0.01)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 70.72%
Under 0.5 29.27%
Over 1.5 34.76% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.23% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Porto 43.05%
Draw 25.51%
Arsenal 31.43%
Porto
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 43.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 5.02%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 31.43%

Build-up

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