Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 17, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Galeno (36'), Mario (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gaspar (17'), Genezio (43'), Vieira (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 3-2 Porto
Monday, February 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 85.26%. A draw has a probability of 10.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 4.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (12.83%) and 4-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.92%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 0-1 (1.67%).

Result
Porto	Draw	Estrela Amadora
85.26% ( -0.13)	10.34% ( 0.04)	4.39% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 40.45% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.06% (

0.27)

31.93% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.51% (

0.32)

53.48% (

-0.32)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.77% (

0.03)

5.22% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.35% (

0.08)

20.65% (

-0.08)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.68% (

0.58)

57.31% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.78% (

0.32)

89.22% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Porto 85.25%

Estrela Amadora 4.39%

Draw 10.34%

Porto	Draw	Estrela Amadora
2-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 7-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 85.25%	1-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 10.34%	0-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.35% Total : 4.39%