Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.6%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.