Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estrela Amadora

Farense
0 - 0
Estrela Amadora


Oliveira (8'), Isidoro (81')
FT

Jaba (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Farense
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-1 Boavista
Sunday, December 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
42.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.53% (0.012 0.01)32.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)48.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.041 -0.04)70.96% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.02% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.83% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.6% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.41% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 42.21%
    Estrela Amadora 32.25%
    Draw 25.53%
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.21%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.25%

How you voted: Farense vs Estrela Amadora

SC Farense
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Estrela Amadora
38.5%
13