Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Sergio Vieira 12' redcard
  • Leo Cordeiro 40' yellowcard
  • Joao Reis 56' yellowcard
  • Kialonda Gaspar 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Madson 11'
  • yellowcard Andre Luis 51'
  • yellowcard Alan 54'
  • yellowcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 62'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 76'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 81'
  • goal Andre Luis 90'
  • redcard Wallisson 90'+2'

Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2023 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
Moreirense 1 - 0 Guimaraes
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Andre Luis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match.

Result

Estrela Amadora 28.67% (-0.03)
Draw 26.6% (+0.01)
Moreirense 44.73% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.88% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.37% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.63% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.03% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 75.97% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.75% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.25% (+0.03)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 65.91% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.09% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.22% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.78% (+0.04)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 75.68% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.32% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 41.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.7% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 28.68%
Draw 26.59%
Moreirense 44.73%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 8.92% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.29% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.59%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 11.72% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.73%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Nov 27, 2022 5.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Goncalo Franco 32' goal
  • Fabio Pacheco 45' goal
  • Alan 69' goal
  • Kobamelo Kodisang 83' goal
  • goal Diogo Salomao 26'
  • goal Regis N'do 49'