Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 10, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
Boavista

Jaba (52'), Abascal (78' og.), Kikas (84')
Luiz (31'), Cordeiro (36'), Gaspar (63'), Almeida (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tavares (74')
Ferreira (25'), Perez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Boavista
29.93% ( -0.02)	25.62% ( -0.01)	44.44% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.6% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84% (

0.02)

50.15% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88% (

0.01)

72.12% (

-0.02)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

-0)

30.83% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89% (

-0)

67.11% (

-0)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

0.02)

22.51% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

0.02)

56.08% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 29.93%

Boavista 44.43%

Draw 25.62%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.93%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.43%