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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Boavista

Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
Boavista

Jaba (52'), Abascal (78' og.), Kikas (84')
Luiz (31'), Cordeiro (36'), Gaspar (63'), Almeida (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavares (74')
Ferreira (25'), Perez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Boavista

Despite their disappointing performance, last weekend's draw saw Estrela end a three-game losing streak and they will head into Sunday's tie looking to build on that result. The Tricolores take on an out-of-sorts Boavista side and we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
29.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.62% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.012 0.01)72.12% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.51% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 29.93%
    Boavista 44.43%
    Draw 25.62%
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.43%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Boavista

Estrela Amadora
40.0%
Draw
33.3%
Boavista
26.7%
30
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AroucaArouca00000000
2AVS00000000
3Benfica00000000
4BoavistaBoavista00000000
5Casa Pia00000000
6Estoril PraiaEstoril00000000
7Estrela Amadora00000000
8FamalicaoFamalicao00000000
9SC FarenseFarense00000000
10Gil Vicente00000000
11MoreirenseMoreirense00000000
12Nacional00000000
13Porto00000000
14Rio AveRio Ave00000000
15Santa ClaraSanta Clara00000000
16Braga00000000
17Sporting Lisbon00000000
18Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes00000000


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