Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 38.65% ( | 25.81% ( | 35.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( | 49.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( | 71.45% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( | 25.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( | 59.78% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( | 26.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( | 62.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.54% |