Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.