Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
| 46.8% ( | 24.46% ( | 28.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( | 45.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( | 68.08% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( | 19.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( | 51.63% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( | 29.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% ( | 65.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.74% |