Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
| 41.67% ( | 26.41% ( | 31.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% ( | 52.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% ( | 74.3% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( | 24.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% ( | 59.61% ( |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( | 30.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( | 66.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.92% |