Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Estrela Amadora

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Aderlan (81')
Oudrhiri (21'), Rodrigues (66'), Graca (90+5'), Nobrega (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sa (86' og.)
Pereira Martins (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawEstrela Amadora
53.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)24.28% (0.011000000000003 0.01)22.56% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)50.03% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.01% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)18.76% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)50.16% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19% (0.028999999999996 0.03)36.8% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4% (0.029 0.03)73.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 53.15%
    Estrela Amadora 22.56%
    Draw 24.28%
Rio AveDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.56%