Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Amine Oudrhiri 21' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Rodrigues 66' yellowcard
  • Aderlan 81' goal
  • Miguel Nobrega 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Joao Graca 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald Pereira Martins 25'
  • goal Josue Sa 86' (OG)

Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 3.30pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Rio Ave
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Emmanuel Boateng

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 6.00pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Rio Ave 53.15% (-0.05)
Draw 24.28% (+0.02)
Estrela Amadora 22.56% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.33% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.96% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 50.03% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.01% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.3% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.69% (+0.01)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 81.23% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 18.76% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 49.83% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.16% (+0.04)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 63.19% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 36.8% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.4% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 73.59% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 53.15%
Draw 24.28%
Estrela Amadora 22.56%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.91% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.28%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 6.9% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.56%