Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Monteiro (66')
Tiba (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nobrega (56')
Nobrega (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 3-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Boavista
Sunday, November 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Rio Ave
43.04% ( 0.68)	24.8% ( 0.37)	32.16% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33% (

-2.03)

45.67% (

2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01% (

-1.96)

67.99% (

1.96)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-0.54)

21.26% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82% (

-0.85)

54.18% (

0.85)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

-1.62)

27.1% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.52% (

-2.16)

62.48% (

2.16)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 43.04%

Rio Ave 32.16%

Draw 24.79%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Rio Ave
2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.04%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.16%