Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 7.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.