Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 8, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Benfica
1 - 1
Farense

Silva (71')
Otamendi (78'), Mario (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Falcao (51')
Muscat (36'), Caseres (90'), Pastor (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Benfica
Sunday, December 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 7.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	SC Farense
79.39% ( -0.05)	13.31% ( 0.03)	7.29% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.59% (

-0.12)

33.41% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.81% (

-0.14)

55.19% (

0.14)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.38% (

-0.03)

6.62% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.41% (

-0.09)

24.59% (

0.09)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.05% (

-0.05)

48.95% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.08% (

-0.04)

83.92% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Benfica 79.39%

SC Farense 7.29%

Draw 13.31%

Benfica	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 79.39%	1-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 13.31%	0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.29%