Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
| 20.02% ( | 21.58% ( | 58.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( | 41.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( | 63.86% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( | 34.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% ( | 71.13% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.07% ( | 13.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.63% ( | 41.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 1-0 @ 5.11% ( 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 3-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0-2 @ 9.32% ( 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0-3 @ 6.12% ( 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0-4 @ 3.02% ( 2-4 @ 1.72% ( 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0-5 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 58.39% |