Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Goncalves (90+1')
Falcao (83'), Talocha (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carlos (44'), Dominguez (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Farense
Saturday, December 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, December 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Gil Vicente
34.77% ( 0.46)	24.87% ( -0)	40.36% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 57.96% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.71% (

0.11)

45.29% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.37% (

0.11)

67.63% (

-0.11)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

0.32)

25.34% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

0.44)

60.13% (

-0.44)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63% (

-0.17)

22.37% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.13% (

-0.26)

55.87% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 34.77%

Gil Vicente 40.36%

Draw 24.87%

SC Farense	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.77%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87%	1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.36%