Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Sporting Lisbon3 - 1Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Serpa 0-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Gil Vicente
Both these sides have put up very good attacking numbers this season, but Sporting have been much better in defence than Gil Vicente, which is where the major difference lies. We are expecting both teams to find the net in this one but are backing the hosts to outscore the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
72.64% ( -0.12) | 16.63% ( 0.28) | 10.73% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( -1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
