Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 4, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Gil Vicente

Tiba (43' og.), Gyokeres (52', 56')
Esgaio (39'), Reis (58'), Edwards (59'), Coates (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Fernandes (34')
Fernandes (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: FC Serpa 0-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Gil Vicente
72.64% ( -0.12)	16.63% ( 0.28)	10.73% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.09% (

-1.9)

37.91% (

1.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.83% (

-2.05)

60.17% (

2.05)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.91% (

-0.5)

9.1% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.1% (

-1.21)

30.9% (

1.21)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.35% (

-1.58)

44.65% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.35% (

-1.3)

80.65% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 72.64%

Gil Vicente 10.73%

Draw 16.63%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 5.59% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.12% Total : 72.64%	1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.63%	0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.73%