Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2023 at 2pm UK
Complexo Desportivo Lousada - Sintetico 2
Gil Vicente logo

FC Serpa
0 - 1
Gil Vicente


Simionato (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fujimoto (22')
Correia (25'), Luciano (77'), Kiko (86'), Marlon (90+2')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between FC Serpa and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Serpa

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Last Game: Pero Pinheiro 0-0 FC Serpa (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 79.75%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for FC Serpa had a probability of 7.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.22%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a FC Serpa win it was 2-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
FC SerpaDrawGil Vicente
7.45% (0.245 0.25)12.8% (0.273 0.27)79.75% (-0.518 -0.52)
Both teams to score 51% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.15% (-0.443 -0.44)29.85% (0.443 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.99% (-0.537 -0.54)51.01% (0.536 0.54)
FC Serpa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.15% (0.27800000000001 0.28)45.85% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.39% (0.215 0.22)81.6% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.18% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)5.82% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.63% (-0.51700000000001 -0.52)22.36% (0.516 0.52)
Score Analysis
    FC Serpa 7.45%
    Gil Vicente 79.74%
    Draw 12.8%
FC SerpaDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 2.31% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 2.08% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 7.45%
1-1 @ 5.92% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 12.8%
0-2 @ 10.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 10.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 7.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.109 0.11)
0-4 @ 7.27% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-4 @ 5.67% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-5 @ 4.14% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-5 @ 3.23% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-6 @ 1.53% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 79.74%