Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Moreirense |
| 33.92% ( | 26.52% ( | 39.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.38% ( | 52.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.73% ( | 74.26% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( | 29.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( | 65.37% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( | 26.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( | 61.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.55% |