Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Dec 16, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafa Mujica 38' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mujica 45'+1' goal
  • Rafa Mujica 61' goal
  • Rafa Mujica 78' goal
  • Tiago Esgaio 85' yellowcard

Arouca vs Gil Vicente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Dec 10, 2023 6.00pm
Arouca 2 - 2 Rio Ave
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Rafa Mujica

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2023 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Maxime Dominguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result

Arouca 36.76% (-0.04)
Draw 25.37% (+0.01)
Gil Vicente 37.86% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.43% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.63% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 47.37% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 30.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.58% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.96% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.04% (+0.01)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 74.82% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 25.18% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.09% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.9% (+0.04)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5 75.42% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.58% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.93% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.07% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Arouca 36.76%
Draw 25.36%
Gil Vicente 37.86%
Arouca
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 36.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.19% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
Gil Vicente
0-1 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.4% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (+0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 37.86%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Vitor Carvalho 37' goal
  • goal Oday Dabbagh 30'
Taca de Portugal
Nov 8, 2022 6.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Vitor Carvalho 17' goal
  • goal Rafa Mujica 6'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 38'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 58'
  • goal Jose Manuel Velazquez 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafa Mujica 1' goal
  • Ismaila Soro 44' yellowcard
  • Alan Ruiz 52' yellowcard
  • Ignacio De Arruabarrena 73' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Cunha 38'
  • yellowcard Carraca 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andre Bukia 14' yellowcard
  • Mateus Quaresma 34' yellowcard
  • David Simao 45' redcard
  • Andre Silva 55' goal
  • Andre Silva 59' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Cunha 82'
  • yellowcard Bilel Aouacheria 84'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Aburjania 89'
  • redcard Giorgi Aburjania 90'
  • goal Lucas Cunha 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Fran Navarro 47' goal
  • Talocha 70' yellowcard
  • goal Arsenio Nunes 16'
  • yellowcard Mateus Quaresma 21'
  • yellowcard Andre Silva 35'
  • yellowcard Pedro Moreira 66'
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 77'
  • redcard Andre Silva 83'