Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 10, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Cristo (50'), Jason (62')
Sylla (1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aderlan (5'), Boateng (29')
Oudrhiri (26'), Luiz (59'), Aderlan (69'), Graca (85'), Ronaldo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Rio Ave
36.3% ( -0.02)	27.07% ( 0.06)	36.63% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.69% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.34% (

-0.22)

54.66% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.01% (

-0.18)

75.99% (

0.19)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

-0.12)

28.91% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

-0.15)

64.78% (

0.15)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

-0.12)

28.7% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

-0.16)

64.53% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Arouca 36.29%

Rio Ave 36.62%

Draw 27.07%

Arouca	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.29%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.62%