Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | SC Farense |
60.46% ( -0.42) | 20.83% ( 0.15) | 18.7% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.95% ( -0.22) | 40.04% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.59% ( -0.23) | 62.41% ( 0.23) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( -0.19) | 12.84% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.8% ( -0.39) | 39.2% ( 0.39) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% ( 0.17) | 34.96% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% ( 0.17) | 71.7% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.58% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |