Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
4 - 0
Farense

Marques (4', 47'), Araujo (45+5'), Parra (78')
Carne (22'), Holsgrove (30')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Falcao (24'), Pastor (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, December 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	SC Farense
60.46% ( -0.42)	20.83% ( 0.15)	18.7% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 56.69% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.95% (

-0.22)

40.04% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.59% (

-0.23)

62.41% (

0.23)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.15% (

-0.19)

12.84% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.8% (

-0.39)

39.2% (

0.39)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.04% (

0.17)

34.96% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.3% (

0.17)

71.7% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 60.46%

SC Farense 18.7%

Draw 20.83%

Estoril Praia	Draw	SC Farense
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.58% Total : 60.46%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.83%	1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.7%