MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 11:04:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Farense logo

Estoril
4 - 0
Farense

Marques (4', 47'), Araujo (45+5'), Parra (78')
Carne (22'), Holsgrove (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Falcao (24'), Pastor (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, December 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 SC Farense

Estoril's home advantage and recent form give them the edge in this match. However, Farense's defensive solidity, recent away performances and ability to frustrate could see them snatch a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSC Farense
60.46% (-0.422 -0.42) 20.83% (0.147 0.15) 18.7% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-0.222 -0.22)40.04% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.231 -0.23)62.41% (0.234 0.23)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)12.84% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (-0.392 -0.39)39.2% (0.395 0.39)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.166 0.17)34.96% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.172 0.17)71.7% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 60.46%
    SC Farense 18.7%
    Draw 20.83%
Estoril PraiaDrawSC Farense
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 60.46%
1-1 @ 9.68% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Estoril vs Farense

Estoril Praia
47.6%
Draw
42.9%
SC Farense
9.5%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
10Casa Pia3088143043-1332
11SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
12Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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