Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 3.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Joao Marques 4' goal
  • Marcelo Carne 22' yellowcard
  • Jordan Holsgrove 30' yellowcard
  • Joao Marques 47' goal
  • Tiago Araujo 45'+5' goal
  • Raul Parra 78' goal
  • yellowcard Claudio Falcao 24'
  • yellowcard Pastor 54'

Estoril Praia vs SC Farense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 17, 2023 6.00pm
Famalicao 1 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Alejandro Marques

SC Farense

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2023 8.15pm
Farense 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Bruno Duarte

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result

Estoril Praia 60.46% (-0.43)
Draw 20.83% (+0.15)
SC Farense 18.7% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.69% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.95% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 40.04% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 37.59% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 62.41% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 20.24% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 79.76% (+0.19)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 87.15% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 12.84% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 60.8% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 39.2% (+0.40)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5 65.04% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 34.96% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 28.3% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 71.7% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 60.46%
Draw 20.83%
SC Farense 18.7%
Estoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9.21% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 60.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.83%
SC Farense
1-2 @ 5.09% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.72% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.48% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 18.7%