Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
41.04% ( 0.01) | 26.79% ( 0.01) | 32.17% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.91% ( -0.03) | 54.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.49% ( -0.03) | 75.51% ( 0.03) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% ( -0.01) | 25.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.05% ( -0.01) | 60.95% ( 0.01) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% ( -0.03) | 31.28% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.37% ( -0.03) | 67.63% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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