Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 10, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
4 - 0
Casa Pia

Marques (1'), Guitane (24'), Gomes (69'), Cassiano (90+5')
Marques (14'), Holsgrove (64'), Gomes (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Neto (32'), Roberto (36'), Cardoso (82'), Mukendi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 0-1 Estoril
Friday, November 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Vizela
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Casa Pia
41.04% ( 0.01)	26.79% ( 0.01)	32.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.91% (

-0.03)

54.09% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

-0.03)

75.51% (

0.03)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

-0.01)

25.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05% (

-0.01)

60.95% (

0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

-0.03)

31.28% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

-0.03)

67.63% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 41.04%

Casa Pia 32.17%

Draw 26.78%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.04%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.17%

How you voted: Estoril vs Casa Pia

Estoril Praia

68.8%

Draw

18.8%

Casa Pia

12.5%

Head to Head

May 21, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 33

Casa Pia

2-2

Estoril

Cardoso (85' pen.), Godwin (90+6' pen.)
Godwin (90+7')

Cassiano (74'), Alvaro (90+8')
Guitane (34'), Carvalho (58'), Cassiano (77'), Vital (83'), Geraldes (86'), Joaozinho (90+1')

> Preview

Jan 16, 2023 7pm

Gameweek 16

Estoril

2-0

Casa Pia

Geraldes (32' pen.), Gouveia (77')

> Preview

Form Guide

Porto 0-1 Estoril

Portimonense 1-0 Estoril

Sintrense 0-5 Estoril

Estoril 0-1 Benfica

Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril

Rabo Peixe 0-2 Casa Pia

Casa Pia 0-1 Estrela Amadora

Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Sporting Lisbon	34	25	7	2	88	27	61	82
2	Benfica	34	25	5	4	84	28	56	80
3	Porto	34	22	5	7	65	30	35	71
4	Braga	34	19	9	6	55	30	25	66
5	Santa Clara Santa Clara	34	17	6	11	36	32	4	57
6	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	34	14	12	8	47	37	10	54
7	Famalicao Famalicao	34	12	11	11	44	39	5	47
8	Estoril Praia Estoril	34	12	10	12	48	53	-5	46
9	Casa Pia	34	12	9	13	39	44	-5	45
10	Moreirense Moreirense	34	10	10	14	42	50	-8	40
11	Arouca Arouca	34	9	11	14	35	49	-14	38
12	Rio Ave Rio Ave	34	9	11	14	39	55	-16	38
13	Gil Vicente	34	8	10	16	34	47	-13	34
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	32	50	-18	34
15	Estrela Amadora	34	7	8	19	24	50	-26	29
R	SC Farense Farense	34	6	9	19	25	46	-21	27
17	AVS	34	5	12	17	25	60	-35	27
R	Boavista Boavista	34	6	6	22	24	59	-35	24
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