Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Campo Bom Jesus
Casa Pia

Rabo Peixe
0 - 2
Casa Pia


Desailly (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Serobyan (28'), Roberto (52')
Soma (41')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Rabo Peixe and Casa Pia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rabo Peixe

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Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Rabo Peixe
Wednesday, January 11 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rabo Peixe had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Rabo Peixe win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Rabo PeixeDrawCasa Pia
18% (0.010000000000002 0.01)23.5% (0.012 0.01)58.5% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)52.44% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-0.026 -0.03)74.11% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Rabo Peixe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.33% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)17.67% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.71% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rabo Peixe 18%
    Casa Pia 58.49%
    Draw 23.5%
Rabo PeixeDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.32%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.42%
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 6.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 58.49%

rhs 2.0


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