Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rabo Peixe win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Sanjoanense had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rabo Peixe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Sanjoanense win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rabo Peixe would win this match.