Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 9, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Campo Bom Jesus

Rabo Peixe
2 - 0
Sanjoanense

Reis (40'), Benevides (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Rabo Peixe and Sanjoanense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rabo Peixe win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Sanjoanense had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rabo Peixe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Sanjoanense win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rabo Peixe would win this match.

Result
Rabo Peixe	Draw	Sanjoanense
48.3% ( -0.75)	26.21% ( 0.24)	25.48% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 48.68% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

-0.51)

55.05% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

-0.42)

76.31% (

0.43)

Rabo Peixe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

-0.55)

22.82% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.47% (

-0.82)

56.53% (

0.83)

Sanjoanense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08% (

0.17)

36.93% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

0.17)

73.71% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Rabo Peixe 48.3%

Sanjoanense 25.48%

Draw 26.21%

Rabo Peixe	Draw	Sanjoanense
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.3%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.48%