MX23RW : Saturday, February 24 02:52:09| >> :600:2464817:2464817:
Estoril
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 6, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto
Estoril
3 - 1
Porto
Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Porto
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 0-2 Porto

Despite already having a win under their belts, Estoril will recognise that they will probably have to win this fixture in order to progress. That may play into Porto's hands and we feel that the visitors should be able to record a hard-earned victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
22.57% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.47% (0.0030000000000001 0) 53.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)46.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.92% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.91% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)71.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)17.21% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.49% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 22.57%
    Porto 53.96%
    Draw 23.47%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 22.57%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.3%
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 5.46%
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.4%
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 53.96%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
11.1%
Draw
7.4%
Porto
81.5%
27
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Estoril
1-1
Porto
Gouveia (41')
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
May 14, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 34
Porto
2-0
Estoril
Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')
Jan 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Estoril
2-3
Porto
Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')
Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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