Primeira Liga
Gameweek
13
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-
Rodrigo Gomes
6'
-
Tiago Araujo
35'
-
Joao Marques
45'
-
Jordan Holsgrove
49'
-
Rodrigo Gomes
61'
-
Alejandro Marques
70'
-
Pedro Alvaro
90'+1'
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Heriberto Tavares
90'+2'
-
Bruno Rodrigues
57'
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Bruno Langa
74'
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Helder Morim
90'+1'
Estoril Praia vs Chaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result
Estoril Praia
39.13%
▼
(-2.86)
Draw
26.75%
▲
(+0.47)
Chaves
34.12%
▲
(+2.38)
Both Teams to Score:
51.51%
▼
(-0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.47%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 2.5
53.53%
▲
(+1.34)
Over 3.5
24.96%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 3.5
75.04%
▲
(+1.15)
Over 4.5
11.33%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 4.5
88.67%
▲
(+0.74)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5
73.27%
▼
(-2.13)
Under 0.5
26.72%
▲
(+2.13)
Over 1.5
38.01%
▼
(-2.90)
Under 1.5
61.99%
▲
(+2.89)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
70.29%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 0.5
29.7%
▼
(-0.91)
Over 1.5
34.24%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 1.5
65.76%
▼
(-1.09)
Score analysis
Estoril Praia
39.12%
Draw
26.74%
Chaves
34.12%
Estoril Praia
1-0
@
10.47%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.50)
3-1 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.41)
3-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.43)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 1% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.12%
2-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.50)
3-1 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.41)
3-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.43)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 1% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.12%
Draw
1-1
@
12.71%
▲
(+0.22)
0-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.74%
0-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.74%
Chaves
0-1
@
9.64%
▲
(+0.73)
1-2 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.58)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 34.12%
1-2 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.58)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 34.12%
Antonio Filipe
83'