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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Chaves

Estoril
4 - 0
Chaves

Gomes (6', 61'), Marques (70'), Tavares (90+2')
Araujo (35'), Marques (45'), Holsgrove (49'), Alvaro (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodrigues (57'), Langa (74'), Morim (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 3-1 Porto
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Taca da Liga

Chaves

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Vizela
Friday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawChaves
39.13% (-2.85 -2.85)26.75% (0.465 0.47)34.12% (2.379 2.38)
Both teams to score 51.51% (-0.819 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (-1.346 -1.35)53.53% (1.34 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-1.15 -1.15)75.04% (1.144 1.14)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-2.127 -2.13)26.72% (2.121 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-2.893 -2.89)61.99% (2.887 2.89)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.89400000000001 0.89)29.7% (-0.9 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (1.076 1.08)65.76% (-1.082 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 39.12%
    Chaves 34.12%
    Draw 26.74%
Estoril PraiaDrawChaves
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.408 -0.41)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.721 0.72)
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.317 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.571 0.57)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.284 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Estoril vs Chaves

Estoril Praia
33.3%
Draw
44.4%
Chaves
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Estoril
0-2
Chaves
Vitoria (31' pen.), Teixeira (71' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 8
Chaves
1-1
Estoril
Hernandez (39')
Martins (76')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2018 4pm
Chaves
2-0
Estoril
William (17'), Pereira (84')
Pereira (29'), Ferreira (83'), Eustaquio (88')

Rodrigues (32'), Kyriakou (78'), Ribeiro (80')
Sep 23, 2017 4pm
Estoril
0-2
Chaves

Lucao (61'), Evangelista (90')
Bressan (39'), Djavan (68')
May 8, 2017 8pm
Estoril
2-1
Chaves
Claro (72'), Mattheus (87')
Afonso (21'), Mattheus (81'), Graca (92')
Bressan (23')
Filipe (83')