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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Chaves
Estoril
4 - 0
Chaves
Gomes (6', 61'), Marques (70'), Tavares (90+2')
Araujo (35'), Marques (45'), Holsgrove (49'), Alvaro (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodrigues (57'), Langa (74'), Morim (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 3-1 Porto
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Vizela
Friday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Chaves

We anticipate a tight and entertaining encounter at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, given the stakes at the bottom end of the Primeira Liga table with crucial ground to be gained in the fight to move clear of the drop zone. While Chaves will certainly cause them problems going forward, Estoril Praia do have enough to prevail on home turf, and we fancy them to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawChaves
39.13% (-2.85 -2.85) 26.75% (0.465 0.47) 34.12% (2.379 2.38)
Both teams to score 51.51% (-0.819 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (-1.346 -1.35)53.53% (1.34 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-1.15 -1.15)75.04% (1.144 1.14)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-2.127 -2.13)26.72% (2.121 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-2.893 -2.89)61.99% (2.887 2.89)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.89400000000001 0.89)29.7% (-0.9 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (1.076 1.08)65.76% (-1.082 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 39.12%
    Chaves 34.12%
    Draw 26.74%
Estoril PraiaDrawChaves
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.408 -0.41)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.721 0.72)
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.317 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.571 0.57)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.284 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Estoril vs Chaves

Estoril Praia
33.3%
Draw
44.4%
Chaves
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Estoril
0-2
Chaves
Vitoria (31' pen.), Teixeira (71' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 8
Chaves
1-1
Estoril
Hernandez (39')
Martins (76')
Feb 25, 2018 4pm
Chaves
2-0
Estoril
William (17'), Pereira (84')
Pereira (29'), Ferreira (83'), Eustaquio (88')

Rodrigues (32'), Kyriakou (78'), Ribeiro (80')
Sep 23, 2017 4pm
Estoril
0-2
Chaves

Lucao (61'), Evangelista (90')
Bressan (39'), Djavan (68')
May 8, 2017 8pm
Estoril
2-1
Chaves
Claro (72'), Mattheus (87')
Afonso (21'), Mattheus (81'), Graca (92')
Bressan (23')
Filipe (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica23184156154158
2Sporting Lisbon22182263224156
3Porto23154438172149
4Braga23144550331746
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes23125635251041
6MoreirenseMoreirense2311572726138
7AroucaArouca2394103832631
8FamalicaoFamalicao226882328-526
9SC FarenseFarense2375113032-226
10Casa Pia2375112235-1326
11Gil Vicente2375113437-326
12BoavistaBoavista2366113044-1424
13Estrela Amadora2357112335-1222
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2364133943-422
15Rio AveRio Ave2341092534-922
16PortimonensePortimonense2364132449-2522
17ChavesChaves2346132349-2618
18Vizela2338122347-2417

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