Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 0
Boavista

Costa (64' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Malheiro (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, December 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Boavista
41.42% ( -0.07)	25.05% ( -0.02)	33.54% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 57.02% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63% (

0.11)

46.37% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35% (

0.11)

68.65% (

-0.11)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

0.02)

22.32% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.2% (

0.02)

55.8% (

-0.03)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41% (

0.11)

26.59% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.19% (

0.14)

61.81% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 41.42%

Boavista 33.54%

Draw 25.05%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.42%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.54%