Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 33.51% ( | 26.67% ( | 39.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.69% ( | 53.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.14% ( | 74.85% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( | 66.1% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( | 26.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( | 61.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.81% |