Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Vilaverdense had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Vilaverdense win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vilaverdense
64.56% ( 0)	21.08% ( -0)	14.36% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.4% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.04% (

-0.01)

48.95% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.96% (

-0.01)

71.04% (

0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.55% (

-0.01)

14.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.61% (

-0.01)

42.38% (

Vilaverdense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.23% (

-0.02)

45.76% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.46% (

-0.01)

81.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 64.54%

Vilaverdense 14.36%

Draw 21.08%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vilaverdense
1-0 @ 12.78% 2-0 @ 12.37% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 64.54%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.08%	0-1 @ 5.17% 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 14.36%