MX23RW : Sunday, February 25 12:05:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 9, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon
Guimaraes
3 - 2
Sporting Lisbon
Silva (45+7' pen.), Silva (73'), Silva (80')
Mangas (27'), Carlos (89'), Silva (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Inacio (42'), Santos (77')
Esgaio (17'), Neto (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting need to continue churning out results after seeing their lead atop the league cut to three points. The hosts will be fairly positive coming into this match as they have an impeccable record against Vitoria de Guimaraes, and we feel they will secure their seventh straight win over Os Vimaranenses in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSporting Lisbon
30.38% (0.251 0.25) 24.43% (-0.112 -0.11) 45.19% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 57.82% (0.529 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.63200000000001 0.63)44.74% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.606 0.61)67.1% (-0.604 -0.6)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (0.48299999999999 0.48)27.79% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.616 0.62)63.37% (-0.613 -0.61)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.202 0.2)19.92% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.32 0.32)52.06% (-0.317 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 30.38%
    Sporting Lisbon 45.19%
    Draw 24.42%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-2 @ 7.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 45.19%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon

Vitoria de Guimaraes
22.2%
Draw
14.8%
Sporting Lisbon
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 8.15pm
Nov 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Guimaraes
Edwards (34', 55'), Morita (40')
Mar 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Estupinan (23')
Fernandes (26'), Mumin (27'), Silva (39'), Varela (45')
Pepa (28')
Sarabia (45+1' pen.), Paulinho (70'), Edwards (90+8')
Santos (51'), Esgaio (54')
Oct 30, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Guimaraes
Coates (31')
Feddal (88'), Ugarte (90')

Silva (23'), Borevkovic (25')
Mar 20, 2021 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica22174152153755
2Sporting Lisbon21181260194155
3Porto22153437162148
4Braga22134546331343
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes23125635251041
6MoreirenseMoreirense2311572726138
7AroucaArouca2394103832631
8FamalicaoFamalicao226882328-526
9SC FarenseFarense2375113032-226
10Casa Pia2375112235-1326
11Gil Vicente2274113336-325
12BoavistaBoavista2266103040-1024
13Estrela Amadora2357112335-1222
14PortimonensePortimonense2264122445-2122
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2263133640-421
16Rio AveRio Ave224992231-921
17ChavesChaves2346132349-2618
18Vizela2237122044-2416

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!